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Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
1. Juli 26, 00:09 UTC25. Sept. 26, 12:00 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will I remain in Montreal past September?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketGemini 4.0 released by which date?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketWill the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market resolves YES if OpenAI keeps the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026, or officially announces before resolution that the September 24, 2026 shutdown/removal has been postponed beyond that date.
- Count as YES: - OpenAI official API docs, deprecation docs, status/docs pages, or an official announcement say the Videos API, Sora API, `sora-2`, `sora-2-pro`, or the listed Sora 2 snapshots remain available to developers after September 24, 2026. - OpenAI explicitly extends the scheduled removal date past September 24, 2026.
- Count as NO: - The Videos API / Sora API / Sora 2 API access is removed on or before September 24, 2026 with no official extension. - OpenAI releases a separate video-generation product or model, but the Sora/Videos API named in the deprecation notice is not kept available and no official extension is announced. - Only the old Sora web/app content export path remains available; this market is about developer API availability, not the discontinued Sora app/web experience.
- Resolve from official OpenAI documentation, status pages, or announcements when possible; use reputable secondary reporting only if official pages are unavailable or contradictory.
- If OpenAI changes names, use substance over branding: the question is whether the scheduled Sora/Videos developer API shutdown is extended or avoided, not whether any unrelated video product exists.
- Current source context at creation: OpenAI Help says Sora web/app experiences were discontinued on April 26, 2026 and the Sora API will be discontinued on September 24, 2026.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will OpenAI keep the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will OpenAI keep the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026? entschieden?
- Will OpenAI keep the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026? soll am 25. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will OpenAI keep the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if OpenAI keeps the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026, or officially announces before resolution that the September 24, 2026 shutdown/removal has been postponed beyond that date.