Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 53.5%
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet23. Juni 26, 00:11 UTC10. Nov. 26, 13:29 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for October 2026 reports that the all-items Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), seasonally adjusted, rose at least 0.3% from September 2026 to October 2026.
- Resolve NO if the initial BLS release reports a seasonally adjusted all-items CPI-U month-over-month change of 0.2% or lower, including 0.0% or a decline.
- Use the official BLS CPI news release or its tables for October 2026 as the primary source.
- Do not use core CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE, PPI, non-seasonally-adjusted monthly change, real earnings, or later annual revisions.
- If BLS corrects the initial October 2026 CPI release before this market is resolved, use the corrected BLS release.
- Scheduled source context: BLS calendar lists Consumer Price Index, October 2026, at 08:30 AM Eastern on November 10, 2026; the calendar note says all times are Eastern Time.
