Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (98.9%)
Entschieden: 22.10.2026, 06:13
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 21.10.2026, 22:45 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes1.1%
No98.9%
Gewonnen
Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will New Glenn fly again in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill New Glenn 7x2 ever fly again?
Manifold MarketsWill the Korean stock market hit an all time high within 6 months?
Manifold MarketsWill Micron hit an all time high within 6 months?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a New Glenn rocket completes a successful liftoff from a launch pad within six months of the current date (October 21, 2026).
- The launch is considered to have occurred once the rocket lifts off under its own power.
- New Glenn is a heavy-lift, partially reusable launch vehicle developed by Blue Origin.
- As of April 2026, the vehicle has completed three orbital flight attempts.
- The most recent mission (NG-3) occurred on April 19, 2026, and successfully demonstrated the first reuse of a first-stage booster, although the upper stage failed to deliver its satellite payload to the intended orbit.