Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 84.5%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet2. Juni 26, 04:21 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will New Glenn 7x2 ever fly again?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket leaves the ground under its own power before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Blue Origin's heavy-lift orbital rocket, New Glenn, has successfully flown three times:
- NG-1 on January 16, 2025
- NG-2 on November 13, 2025