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Veraltet29. Mai 26, 06:53 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will New Glenn fly again in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketRegeln
On May 28, 2026, a Blue Origin New Glenn rocket exploded in a massive fireball during a pre-launch static fire test at Cape Canaveral's Launch Complex 36 (LC-36) ahead of its planned fourth mission (NG-4).
- Given the extensive infrastructure damage, planned switch to 9x4, and possible destruction of the only other completed 7-engine booster, some including Eric Berger have speculated the company may skip directly to 9x4.
- The market will resolve as no if Blue officially confirms they will move directly to 9x4, or if the next New Glenn flight is in the 9x4 configuration and there is no credible information that any future 7x2 flights are planned.
- Yes resolution requires a 7x2 rocket to intentionally lift off of the pad; success otherwise isn’t necessary.