Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 90.3%
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32
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet10. Sept. 25, 22:39 UTC1. Jan. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty?
Manifold MarketsWhat's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
Manifold MarketsAnother politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of Charlie Kirk's?
Manifold MarketsLeopold Aschenbrenner charged by which date?
PolymarketWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiMichael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if criminal charges are brought against more than one person for the assassination of Charlie Kirk, including the shooter or any co-conspirators.
- Such charges may include murder, conspiracy, possession of an illegal firearm, aiding and abetting, etc. Resolves NO if some authority declares the suspected shooter to have acted alone, or if the lone suspect completes all trials before criminal charges are brought against any other person.
- ~~Also resolves NO if the case goes cold; i.e. no charges are brought by 1/1/2028.~~
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 347.549,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 27.385,2 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 497.379,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.478 €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 675.987,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8196,4 €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4566,5 €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 577.193,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3664,6 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 90% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death? entschieden?
- Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if criminal charges are brought against more than one person for the assassination of Charlie Kirk, including the shooter or any co-conspirators.