Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.2%
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32
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet10. Sept. 25, 22:39 UTC1. Jan. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US civil war before 2028 with Charlie Kirk shooting as major cause?
Manifold MarketsWhat's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
Manifold MarketsWhich method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?
Manifold MarketsWhat is true about Erika Kirk (Charlie Kirk’s widow) after the funeral ceremony.
Manifold MarketsMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if criminal charges are brought against more than one person for the assassination of Charlie Kirk, including the shooter or any co-conspirators.
- Such charges may include murder, conspiracy, possession of an illegal firearm, aiding and abetting, etc. Resolves NO if some authority declares the suspected shooter to have acted alone, or if the lone suspect completes all trials before criminal charges are brought against any other person.
- ~~Also resolves NO if the case goes cold; i.e. no charges are brought by 1/1/2028.~~
