Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseGets nothing 92.5%
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet17. Jan. 26, 19:28 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
On January 15, 2026, Maria Machando gave her Nobel prize to Donald Trump.
- Will Trump give her absolutely nothing in exchange?
- What counts as "something": An endorsement from Trump, political/military/media action intended to advance Machado's political career, any political favor done at her request, any gift valued over $50,000.
- Endorsements must make mention of her political career.
- Merely stating "She's a lovely woman, she recognized I deserve the peace prize" does NOT count.
- Saying "She won the popular vote" or "they rigged the election against her like they did to me" would count.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Maria Machado get nothing in exchange for her Nobel prize? (in 2026)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Gets nothing mit 93% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Maria Machado get nothing in exchange for her Nobel prize? (in 2026) entschieden?
- Will Maria Machado get nothing in exchange for her Nobel prize? (in 2026) soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Maria Machado get nothing in exchange for her Nobel prize? (in 2026) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: On January 15, 2026, Maria Machando gave her Nobel prize to Donald Trump.