When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)?
PreisverleihungenUnterhaltung4J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Not by 2030 60.6%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Not by 2030 60.6%Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet5. Jan. 25, 08:35 UTC1. Jan. 31, 12:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Wins Nobel Prize in Literature before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Alan Moore ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?
Manifold MarketsWill Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?
Manifold MarketsWill an LLM have been used as part of the composition a work which wins the Nobel Prize in Literature by 2040?
Manifold MarketsNational Book Award for Translated Literature
KalshiNational Book Award for Young People's Literature
KalshiRegeln
Mircea Cărtărescu is a renowned Romanian novelist, poet, and essayist who has been consistently mentioned as a top contender for the Nobel Prize in Literature.
- He was among the favorites for the 2024 prize and continues to be considered a strong candidate for future awards.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the year in which Mircea Cărtărescu wins the Nobel Prize in Literature.
- If he wins the prize in any year from 2025 through 2030, the corresponding year option will resolve as YES, with all other options resolving as NO.
- If he does not win the prize by the end of 2030, "the named outcome" will resolve as YES, with all other options resolving as NO.
