Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Not by 2030 60%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert5. Jan. 25, 08:35 UTC1. Jan. 31, 12:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 Nobel Prize for Literature recipient be a woman?
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KalshiRegeln
Mircea Cărtărescu is a renowned Romanian novelist, poet, and essayist who has been consistently mentioned as a top contender for the Nobel Prize in Literature.
- He was among the favorites for the 2024 prize and continues to be considered a strong candidate for future awards.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the year in which Mircea Cărtărescu wins the Nobel Prize in Literature.
- If he wins the prize in any year from 2025 through 2030, the corresponding year option will resolve as YES, with all other options resolving as NO.
- If he does not win the prize by the end of 2030, "the named outcome" will resolve as YES, with all other options resolving as NO.
Offene Märkte
Awards
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Not by 2030 mit 60% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)? entschieden?
- When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Mircea Cărtărescu is a renowned Romanian novelist, poet, and essayist who has been consistently mentioned as a top contender for the Nobel Prize in Literature.