Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

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Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+9.9pt96%
• Anthropic-5.3pt4%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

3,4 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

165.685,9 €

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic-1.0pt56%
• Google+1.0pt35%
• OpenAI+0.1pt6%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.7pt59.5%
• Gemini-0.1pt30.1%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt

POLYMARKET

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?

• December 31-5.5pt82%
• December 15-14.0pt74%
• November 30+6.5pt64%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-1.5pt28.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.7pt24%
• $1.5–$1.75T+1.3pt17.3%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?