Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 97.1%
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet13. Juni 24, 07:43 UTC31. Dez. 31, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext UK prime minister tenure? (After Keir Starmer)
Manifold MarketsIf Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by which date?
FutuurHow many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is UK Prime Minister on 31 December 2031.
- (Note that if there is a general election in the summer of 2029, then the end of 2031 will be 2.5 years into that parliament.
- However, Starmer doesn't have to be PM for all that period to resolve YES, merely be PM on 31 Dec 2031).
