FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 29.10.2026, 15:47 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30, 2027 15%
June 30, 2027 15%Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
820,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
2
Kommentare
3
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Regeln
This event predicts whether Andy Burnham will leave the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by the dates listed in the markets.
- For the purposes of this event, "leave office" means that Andy Burnham ceases to hold the position of Prime Minister — through resignation, removal, replacement, or any other cause that ends his premiership, including death or permanent incapacity.
- Each market below covers one deadline and resolves on its own; any number of these markets may resolve 'Yes'.
- Resolution is based on the substantive exit from the office, not temporary incapacity or ceremonial delegation of duties.
- A resignation announcement alone does not qualify: the market period in which Burnham actually ceases to hold the office is the one that governs.
- Once a market's condition is met, it resolves to 'Yes' immediately and irrevocably, regardless of later events.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...? · December 31 5%
