If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

PolitikOne-OffEurope Wahl1J

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 97.8%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden

Veraltet

4. Juni 24, 16:21 UTC1. Jan. 28, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Verwandte Märkte

Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.

Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?

Manifold Markets

2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will UK aid be at or above the 0.6% of GNI by the end of the Parliament?

Manifold Markets

2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?

Manifold Markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Kalshi

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Kalshi

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Polymarket

Regeln

N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.

Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

PolitikOne-OffEurope Wahl1J

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 97.8%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden

Veraltet

4. Juni 24, 16:21 UTC1. Jan. 28, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Verwandte Märkte

Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.

Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?

Manifold Markets

2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will UK aid be at or above the 0.6% of GNI by the end of the Parliament?

Manifold Markets

2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?

Manifold Markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Kalshi

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Kalshi

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Polymarket

Regeln

N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.

Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028??: Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
Wann wird If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028? entschieden?: If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
Wie wird If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028? abgerechnet?: Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

Häufige Fragen

Offene Märkte

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Brazil Presidential Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Next French Presidential Election