Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 08:35 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 53%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet9. Sept. 25, 15:36 UTC8. Sept. 27, 18:38 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Supreme Court hear a case about prediction market pre-emption?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Appeals Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the Third Circuit Judges will rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsNorth Carolina enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketWill California’s billionaire tax take effect?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This resolves YES if Kalshi prevails in all current appellate cases on CEA preemption against state gambling enforcement, defined as:
- Third Circuit (New Jersey): the court affirms the district court’s preliminary injunction protecting Kalshi from NJ enforcement or dismisses the appeal in a way that leaves that injunction in place.
- Docket: Kalshiex LLC v.
- Mary Jo Flaherty et al, No. 25-1922.
- (dockets.justia.com)