Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 65.7%
Prognostiker
6
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Stunden
Veraltet9. Sept. 25, 15:36 UTC8. Sept. 27, 18:38 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the Third Circuit Judges will rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWill Kalshi win its lawsuit against Maryland?
Manifold MarketsWill California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiWill Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
KalshiLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This resolves YES if Kalshi prevails in all current appellate cases on CEA preemption against state gambling enforcement, defined as:
- Third Circuit (New Jersey): the court affirms the district court’s preliminary injunction protecting Kalshi from NJ enforcement or dismisses the appeal in a way that leaves that injunction in place.
- Docket: Kalshiex LLC v.
- Mary Jo Flaherty et al, No. 25-1922.
- (dockets.justia.com)
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 220.373,6 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+0.5pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-11.0pt40%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-15.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.4%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 105.106,7 €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+16.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+20.0pt66%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 66% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption? entschieden?
- Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption? soll am 8. September 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria