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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet19. Okt. 22, 01:07 UTC1. Jan. 33, 02:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies: #1 search
KalshiGoogle’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes: #1 search
KalshiGoogle’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors: #1 search
KalshiWill Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will solve to YES if by Dec 2032, Google Search market share measured by GS Statscounter is lower than 60%.
- Market share as of Oct 2022:
- [image]I am increasingly surprised by AI advances that I think Google's moat could be under attack soon, either by startups or by Apple.
- The pace of copycats to breakthrough models like AlphaFold, GPT-3 and Dalle-2 makes me think people are overestimating how defensible is artificial inteligence breakthroughs.
- Creator policy: I won't bet.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 66% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032? entschieden?
- Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032? soll am 1. Januar 2033 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will solve to YES if by Dec 2032, Google Search market share measured by GS Statscounter is lower than 60%.