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Ja 77.4%
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Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet31. Aug. 24, 09:46 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will SpaceX perform Falcon 9 commercial rocket launches after 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Falcon 9 have a second in-flight Anomaly in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 700 times?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
On 28 Aug 2024 SpaceX's run of successful booster landings came to an end at 267 with the loss of booster B1062 after its 23rd successful launch.
- Will SpaceX beat this record of consecutive successes for Falcon booster landings?
- B1086's fire on landing reset the streak on 3 Mar 2025, after 73 successes.
- Edit: for clarity, a failure during ascent would also invalidate the streak.
- Anything after engine ignition for launch, where a booster landing was intended.
- Update 2025-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Intrinsic Failure Requirement:
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.065,4 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.371,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 57.371,5 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.857 €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 77% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267? entschieden?
- Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: On 28 Aug 2024 SpaceX's run of successful booster landings came to an end at 267 with the loss of booster B1062 after its 23rd successful launch.