Will "Explosive AI-driven growth" side of bet proposed by Ben Moll win?
WirtschaftOne-OffKIMacro & Economy8JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 78.5%
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
28. Aug. 26, 12:26 UTC1. Jan. 35, 00:00 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Ben Moll (@ben_moll) on X
- [link preview]Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the "fast-growth" (Explosive AI-driven growth) side of the bet wins.
- It will resolve to NO if the "no-fast-growth" side (which Benjamin Moll is betting on) wins.
- According to the official bet terms, the fast-growth side wins if there is any quarter Q , up to and including 2033Q4, such that U.S. real GDP per capita in Q is at least 15% higher than the previous peak, defined as the highest quarterly real GDP per capita recorded in any quarter up to and including Q-4 (i.e., at least one year before Q).
- Otherwise, the no-fast-growth side wins.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will "Explosive AI-driven growth" side of bet proposed by Ben Moll win??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 79% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will "Explosive AI-driven growth" side of bet proposed by Ben Moll win? entschieden?
- Will "Explosive AI-driven growth" side of bet proposed by Ben Moll win? soll am 1. Januar 2035 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will "Explosive AI-driven growth" side of bet proposed by Ben Moll win? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Ben Moll (@ben_moll) on X