Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 85.5%
Prognostiker
44
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
11. Apr. 26, 14:01 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketWill Netanyahu visit New York City by which date?
PolymarketWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketWho will be a part of the next government of Israel?
KalshiWill Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party secures a majority of seats in the United States House of Representatives following the 2026 midterm elections.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
- Resolution will be determined by the official certification of results by the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives and reports from authoritative news outlets such as the Associated Press.
- If the control of the House remains unclear due to contested results, legal challenges, or a split that prevents a majority, the market will resolve based on which party is recognized as the majority in the opening session of the 120th Congress.
- The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections will determine the composition of the 120th Congress.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 606,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 86% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ? entschieden?
- Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ? soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria