Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 88.1%
Prognostiker
17
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet25. Jan. 25, 20:32 UTC2. Jan. 27, 09:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
Manifold MarketsPharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill greyhound racing be banned in the US by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If any part of their ecosystem is banned - chat app, use of model weights, etc - this resolves as yes
- Update 2025-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Government agencies or branches banning DeepSeek will not be considered as part of the resolution.
- The focus is on a wider national ban beyond government agencies/branches.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 132.799,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.316,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 322.392,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will DeepSeek be banned in US before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will DeepSeek be banned in US before 2027? entschieden?
- Will DeepSeek be banned in US before 2027? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will DeepSeek be banned in US before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If any part of their ecosystem is banned - chat app, use of model weights, etc - this resolves as yes