Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.6%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet29. Sept. 25, 20:59 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill DeepSeek be banned in US before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?
KalshiWill greyhound racing be banned in the US by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
KalshiHow much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?
KalshiRegeln
Will direct-to-consumer (DTC) pharmaceutical advertisements (pharma ads) on television (TV) be banned in the United States by the end of 2026?
- Resolves YES if any of the following are true at 11:59pm on Dec 31, 2026:
- ads are banned by act of Congress
- ads are banned by executive order
- ads are banned by federal regulation
- any of the above bans has been made but is under a judicial stay at the specified time
Offene Märkte
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.2pt94%
- Yes-1.2pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 262.997,1 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-10.0pt69%
- December 15,-13.5pt65%
- November 30,-12.0pt49%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt88%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt83%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+9.0pt34%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+6.0pt27%
- Before Apr 1, 202717%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7 Mio. €
KALSHIWhen will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Before Jan 1, 202878%
- Before Jul 1, 202733%
- Before Jan 1, 20277%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 13.008,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8088 €
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027-16.1pt62.6%
- 8–11B+6.7pt10.1%
- 11–14B-0.1pt8.1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? entschieden?
- Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will direct-to-consumer (DTC) pharmaceutical advertisements (pharma ads) on television (TV) be banned in the United States by the end of 2026?