Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.1%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 43 Minuten
8. Apr. 26, 22:46 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bluesky exceed 50 million monthly active users before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsMercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q3
KalshiLife360 monthly active users in Q3
KalshiWhich of the following social platforms will die first? (die = lose >50% of average monthly active users YoY)
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market resolves YES if Claude (by Anthropic) reaches or exceeds ChatGPT's monthly active users at any point before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on publicly reported figures from Anthropic and OpenAI, or credible third-party sources such as Reuters, Bloomberg, or The Verge.
- As of April 2026, ChatGPT has ~900M weekly active users vs Claude's ~18.9M monthly active users.
