Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 83.6%
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Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
1. Aug. 26, 16:22 UTC31. Dez. 39, 18:29 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegeln
https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems
- 1 was solved - the Poincare conjecture - by Grigori Perelman.
- There are 6 remaining.
- There are 17ish years left before this market closes.
- Apr 4, 1:51am: Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems by solved by 2040? → Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
- (Identical market to: source market)
Offene Märkte
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+7.3pt55%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 226.325,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 125.213,7 €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,6 Mio. €
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 108.303,7 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5183 €
POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+18.6pt65.7%
- 4.2-4.4m-20.9pt26.5%
- 4.6-4.8m+0.8pt2.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 84% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040? entschieden?
- Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040? soll am 31. Dezember 2039 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems