Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 97%
Prognostiker
36
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet25. Mai 23, 16:58 UTC31. Jan. 27, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will OpenAI stick to its commitment to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military using its AI by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves positively based on credible news report over a 1 month period that a deployed Siri or analogous programme is powered using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026? entschieden?
- Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026? soll am 31. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves positively based on credible news report over a 1 month period that a deployed Siri or analogous programme is powered using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic.