Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 69%
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Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet21. Apr. 26, 19:52 UTC22. Jan. 31, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Coca-Cola's 2026 Christmas Commercial Substantially AI Generated?
Manifold MarketsCoca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
KalshiNow Coca-Cola Company buys Restaurant Brands International (RBI) on 2035
Manifold MarketsWill Polymarket stop using the UMA protocol by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill any country stop using paper currency by end 2029?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves if a Coca Cola Christmas ad airs before 2030 has fewer than 50% of its pixels produced by a Gen AI model.
- This can be inferred from reporting or company announcements about how their ad was produced
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 132.799,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.316,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 322.392,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 69% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? entschieden?
- Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? soll am 22. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves if a Coca Cola Christmas ad airs before 2030 has fewer than 50% of its pixels produced by a Gen AI model.