Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Stunden
Veraltet1. Juli 23, 09:24 UTC31. Dez. 32, 21:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?
Manifold MarketsWill Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?
Manifold MarketsWill South Korea's total fertility rate exceed 1 by 2035
Manifold MarketsIn twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?
Manifold MarketsEU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by which date?
PolymarketRussia military action against EU country by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Currently the highest is France at 1.84 (live births per woman).
- Note that the measure I'm using here is slightly different from "replacement rate" (which is 2.1).