Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028?

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028??

Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 81.5% (Stand: 3. November 2026).

Wann wird Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028? entschieden?

Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will be resolved as YES if the AVG@5 score of any LLM on this leaderboard will be 95.0% or higher before Jan 1, 2028.

Diesen Markt im Code oder in einem KI-Agenten nutzen

Kostenloses JSON zu diesem Markt, ohne API-Schlüssel:

KI-Agenten: pm_data_event über den MCP-Server von CoinRithm aufrufen:

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+8.5pt68.8%
• Anthropic-13.1pt31.3%
• ByteDance0%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

6,6 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

142.857,4 €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.5pt33%
• $1.5–$1.75T+5.0pt24%
• $2.0–$2.25T-5.8pt14%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+5.0pt53.2%
• Claude+0.3pt40%
• ChatGPT-1.5pt

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T+3.6pt94%
• ↑$1.75T-1.5pt81%
• ↑$2.0T-2.0pt64%

+11 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+1.5pt54.9%
• Anthropic+2.0pt38.2%
• OpenAI+0.1pt4.9%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

• No IPO by December 31, 2026-0.1pt97%
• 1.5T+-0.1pt1%
• 750B–1T1%

+4 weitere Ergebnisse

• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Grok App Downloads in October 2026
• Best AI this month
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• ChatGPT App Downloads in October
• Anthropic IPO Date
• Gemini Carbon released on?
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 2, 2026
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?