Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 68.2% (Stand: 27. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030? entschieden?

Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if, before 1 January 2030, a paper published in Nature or Science lists an AI system (not a person) as first or lead author, or the journal's editorial note describes the AI as the paper's primary author.

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