Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 67.9%
Prognostiker
57
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet30. Jan. 23, 21:37 UTC1. Jan. 35, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
The President of the United States in February 2029 will be someone who never had held elected political office prior to 2023.
Manifold MarketsWill Zach Wilson run for elected political office in the U.S. state of Utah before 2040?
Manifold MarketsMusk child holds elected political office by mid 2034
Manifold MarketsWill an AI get elected as a politician by 2050?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegeln
Doesn't count joke elections or sham positions with no actual power.