Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95%
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Veraltet17. Sept. 25, 08:55 UTC30. Sept. 26, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
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Will 5% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsWill 1% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsWill 2% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Gallup began polling Americans on their beliefs about artificial intelligence in 2023, publishing their most recent results in August 2024, and September 2025.
- According to Gallup, only 1 in 10 Americans believe AI will "do more good than harm", whereas 3 in 10 Americans believe AI will do "more harm than good".
- About half of Americans think AI will do equal amounts of harm and good.
- This question resolves YES if Gallup polling for 2026 shows more Americans believe AI will do "more good than harm" compared to Americans who believe AI will "do more harm than good".
- [image]For example, if Americans who see AI as good rise from 12% to 25%, and Americans who see AI as bad drop from 31% to 24%, then this question would resolve YES, since more Americans are favourable than disfavourable.
- Americans who think there will be equal parts good and bad do not matter for the purposes of this question.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Americans believe AI does more good than harm in 2026, according to Gallup??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Americans believe AI does more good than harm in 2026, according to Gallup? entschieden?
- Will Americans believe AI does more good than harm in 2026, according to Gallup? soll am 30. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Americans believe AI does more good than harm in 2026, according to Gallup? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Gallup began polling Americans on their beliefs about artificial intelligence in 2023, publishing their most recent results in August 2024, and September 2025.