Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.7%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Stunden
Veraltet6. Jan. 26, 16:27 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Alex O'Connor convert to Christinanity before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the first ASI proclaim Christianity true?
Manifold MarketsWill @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiRegeln
If Alex O'Connor (host of the podcast Within Reason) publicly comes around and seriously identifies himself as a Christian before 2027, this will resolve YES.
- Otherwise resolves NO on Jan 1. 2027.
Offene Märkte
ReligionKALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.525,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9518,5 €
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 56,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9167,8 €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 117.950,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,3 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No-0.5pt90%
- Yes+0.5pt10%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 797,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 674,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
- GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 93% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027? entschieden?
- Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Alex O'Connor (host of the podcast Within Reason) publicly comes around and seriously identifies himself as a Christian before 2027, this will resolve YES.