Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 70.8%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet25. Nov. 24, 19:03 UTC31. Dez. 99, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves as a percentage according to the most official figure I can find.
- For reference, this would be 31% as of 2024.
- Resolves NA if human civilization ends before then.
Offene Märkte
ReligionKALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.525,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9518,5 €
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 56,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9167,8 €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 117.950,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,3 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No-0.5pt90%
- Yes+0.5pt10%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 797,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 674,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
- GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 71% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100? entschieden?
- What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100? soll am 31. Dezember 2099 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as a percentage according to the most official figure I can find.