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Will Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2027?
Manifold MarketsHighest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
KalshiHighest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) is a benchmark designed to evaluate Al systems' reasoning and problem-solving capabilities across a wide range of academic disciplines, including mathematics, humanities, and natural sciences.
- Developed collaboratively by the Center for Al Safety and Scale Al, HLE comprises 3,000 unambiguous and verifiable academic questions contributed by nearly 1,000 subject-matter experts from over 500 institutions across 50 countries.
- The dataset is multimodal, with approximately 10% of the questions requiring both image and text comprehension, while the remaining 90% are text-based.
- As of early 2025, state-of-the-art Al models have demonstrated limited success on the HLE benchmark.
- For instance, OpenAl's 03-mini (high) model achieved an accuracy of 13% when evaluated solely on text-based questions.
- OpenAl's Deep Research agent, which leverages the 03 model for extensive web browsing and data analysis, reached an accuracy of 26.6% on the HLE benchmark.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
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POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
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- November 30,85%
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
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- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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- Grok2.8%
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- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 64% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028? entschieden?
- Will Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) is a benchmark designed to evaluate Al systems' reasoning and problem-solving capabilities across a wide range of academic disciplines, including mathematics, humanities, and natural sciences.