Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88.6%
Prognostiker
210
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet26. Feb. 23, 06:16 UTC31. Dez. 60, 12:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe out "humanity" before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegeln
This Market will resolve to no if any humans are still alive at the end of 2060.
- Otherwise, the ai will resolve it to yes.
- Creating this market as I am interested in the timeline as well as the outcome and we already have the same event on a 2100 timeline.
- Link to 2100 market: https://manifold.markets/JamesDillard/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th?r=SmFtZXNCaWxscw