Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

One-OffKI

Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (98.3%)

Entschieden: 10.08.2026, 14:58

Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung

CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 98.3%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Tagen

Veraltet

6. Sept. 23, 17:0431. Juli 26, 21:59

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

Nein

98.3%

1.7%

Regeln

Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Inflection AI, in his July 14, 2023 article for MIT Technology Review defined the Modern Turing Test:

Put simply, to pass the Modern Turing Test, an AI would have to successfully act on this instruction: “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment.” To do so, it would need to go far beyond outlining a strategy and drafting some copy, as current systems like GPT-4 are so good at doing.
It would need to research and design products, interface with manufacturers and logistics hubs, negotiate contracts, create and operate marketing campaigns.
It would need, in short, to tie together a series of complex real-world goals with minimal oversight.
You would still need a human to approve various points, open a bank account, actually sign on the dotted line.
But the work would all be done by an AI.

Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

One-OffKI

Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (98.3%)

Entschieden: 10.08.2026, 14:58

Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung

CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 98.3%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Tagen

Veraltet

6. Sept. 23, 17:0431. Juli 26, 21:59

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

Nein

98.3%

1.7%

Regeln

Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Inflection AI, in his July 14, 2023 article for MIT Technology Review defined the Modern Turing Test:

Put simply, to pass the Modern Turing Test, an AI would have to successfully act on this instruction: “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment.” To do so, it would need to go far beyond outlining a strategy and drafting some copy, as current systems like GPT-4 are so good at doing.
It would need to research and design products, interface with manufacturers and logistics hubs, negotiate contracts, create and operate marketing campaigns.
It would need, in short, to tie together a series of complex real-world goals with minimal oversight.
You would still need a human to approve various points, open a bank account, actually sign on the dotted line.
But the work would all be done by an AI.

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months??: Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 11. August 2026).
Wann wird Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months? entschieden?: Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months? soll am 31. Juli 2026 entschieden werden.
Wie wird Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months? abgerechnet?: Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Inflection AI, in his July 14, 2023 article for MIT Technology Review defined the Modern Turing Test:

Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

Häufige Fragen

Offene Märkte

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

BTC price on August 21

Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Anthropic IPO by __?

Best AI at the end of 2026?