Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 06:09 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95.7%
Prognostiker
68
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet3. März 24, 23:11 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat is the next major competitive sport where AI beat top human player
Manifold MarketsWill any of the Magic: The Gathering "culturally insensitive cards" be reprinted or unbanned by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Lego or Bionicle crossover with Magic the Gathering by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves to Yes if an AI has the strength to beat world champions in Magic the Gathering before the end of 2026
- If AI were able to beat the world champion in any one of the major format, Draft, Constructed or Sealed, it would count as a resolve Yes.
- The AI doesnt have to actually be participating in the world championship (it likely would not), but as long as the AI demonstrated consistent strength in beating current world champion in repeated games (70% win rate with 10+ games played) that would count as a Yes.
- AI doesn't necessarily have to beat the current world champion.
- Beating any of the top 20 in the world within past 3 years is sufficient.
- The goal is to demonstrate that the AI has the strength to likely win against the world champion.
