Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040??

Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 79.2% (Stand: 28. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040? entschieden?

Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040? soll am 1. Januar 2040 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves yes if, in my judgement, that’s the reason for the award, even if those exact terms don’t appear in the official announcement.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.6pt95%
• December 15,+1.5pt93%
• November 30,-1.5pt87%

+15 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

5,4 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

111.703,3 €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-1.5pt30.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.8pt22.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.5pt16.7%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+4.8pt98%
• Anthropic-5.2pt2%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.1pt58.8%
• Gemini-0.7pt29.9%
• ChatGPT+0.6pt

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt96.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202793.5%

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-7.8pt23.2%
• $1.25T–$1.5T+1.4pt21.1%
• $1.5T–$1.75T+3.1pt21.1%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?