Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a text model achieve 100% performance on the MMLU in five years??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 71.9% (Stand: 26. Oktober 2026).

Will a text model achieve 100% performance on the MMLU in five years?

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This video predicts that a model will achieve 100% performance on the Massive Multitask Language Understanding Benchmark.

This will resolve YES if a model is listed as having achieved 100 percent performance on the MMLU on papers with code, in a technical document, or published article by 3:00 PM EST June 28, 2028.
This will resolve NO if a model is not listed as ahving achieved 100 percent performance on the MMLU.