Wird vor dem 1. Januar 2030 ein zuverlässiger und allgemeiner Haushaltsroboter entwickelt?
TechnikOne-OffWissenschaft3JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 74.2%
Prognostiker
706
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet27. Apr. 23, 19:21 UTC2. Jan. 30, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any real-world household robot benchmark appear by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a successful human brain uploading technology be developed before January 1st, 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Team Fortress 3 be announced before January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 1500 or more official Pokemon creatures on January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRegeln
The development of general-purpose robots capable of performing household chores has been a long-standing goal in the field of robotics.
- Such a robot would need to be versatile, adaptable, and capable of handling a wide range of tasks and environments commonly found in American homes.
- Achieving this level of capability remains a significant challenge.
- Will a general household robot capable of performing household chores to a high level of reliability be developed before January 1st, 2030?
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2030, a general household robot is developed anywhere in the world and has been publicly and credibly documented to have:
