Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Demographics 29.7%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
50
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet19. Sept. 23, 02:44 UTC26. Sept. 28, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ben & Jerry's Chocolate Chip Cookie Dough ice cream still be produced by 2065?
Manifold MarketsWill the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
KalshiWill my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2030
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
KalshiWhen will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
KalshiRegeln
See Nutrition Science's Most Preposterous Result, from The Atlantic, May 2023.
- Choi 2005 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/article-abstract/1152788
- Korat 2018 http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:37925665
- Nutr 2019 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6821541/
- Resolves to my best guess five years after creating the market.
- If there are multiple causes, will resolve to my subjective weighting of factors.
Offene Märkte
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 11.643,5 €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-1.0pt93.1%
- Yes+1.0pt6.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 920.957,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4657,4 €
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11%45%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2610,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1423,4 €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-1.0pt60%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 869.070,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1312,9 €
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 612.821,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1144,8 €
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Demographics mit 30% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk? entschieden?
- Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk? soll am 26. September 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: See Nutrition Science's Most Preposterous Result, from The Atlantic, May 2023.