Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDemocrats 63.8%Führend unter 14 Optionen
Prognostiker
40
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-0.8 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet12. Juni 25, 12:47 UTC6. Nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 66%
- Auch verfügbar auf Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 62%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? ·
