Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Democrats 60.5%+0.3ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
66
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet27. Jan. 25, 17:21 UTC8. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES for “Democrats” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 democratic party nominee for president.
- Resolves YES for “Republicans” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 republican party nominee for president.
- Resolves YES for “Other” in any other scenario.
- Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:
- No Election: If no presidential election takes place in 2028, the market will resolve as Other.
- Outcome Determination: In cases where the winner is disputed or unclear, the resolution will be based on the candidate who is inaugurated at the market's end date.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Democrats mit 61% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? entschieden?
- Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? soll am 8. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES for “Democrats” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 democratic party nominee for president.