PredictItVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichNicht verifizierte AuflösungsdatenRetail prediction exchange
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democratic 58%
Methodik
Retail prediction exchange
Fragetyp
-
24h-Volumen
33,8 €
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold Markets2028 US Presidential Election: Winner
Robinhood (Rothera)Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?
PredictItRegeln
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Democratic liegt bei 67%. Die Kurse liegen rund 9 Prozentpunkte auseinander. Die Handelsplätze sind sich nicht einig, welches Ergebnis vorn liegt.
CoinRithm-Referenz Democratic 67% · 2 Plattformen · 9 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? · Democratic Party 61%
- Auch verfügbar auf Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 57%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) · Democratic party 59%
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-8.0pt69.3%
- Yes+8.0pt30.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 831.213,8 €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 187,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 495.422,9 €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Bibi / Netanyahu+83.0pt99%
- Ukraine+44.0pt99%
- Kamala99%
+31 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 864.163,4 €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+17.0pt61%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+16.0pt60%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+15.0pt48%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.2pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt35.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Texas Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- PredictIt bewertet Democratic mit 58% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wie wird Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? abgerechnet?
- PredictIt rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.<br /><br />Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No. <br /><br />PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Wo wird Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf ForecastEx, Limitless, Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Kalshi gelistet.