PredictItVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichNicht verifizierte AuflösungsdatenRetail prediction exchange
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democratic 62%+1.0pt
Democratic 62%+1.0ptMethodik
Retail prediction exchange
Fragetyp
-
24h-Volumen
0,9 €
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
15. Juli 25, 13:18 UTC30. Okt. 29, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
2028 US Presidential Election: Winner
Robinhood (Rothera)Will Elon Musk endorse a democratic candidate in the next US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho wins the US presidential election in 2024? / Will Russia invade a NATO member before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a US presidential candidate promise a national ban on cell-cultivated, lab-grown meat before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRegeln
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
3 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die plattformübergreifende Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Democratic liegt bei 62%. Die Spanne zwischen den Plattformen beträgt rund 3 Prozentpunkte. Die Handelsplätze sind sich nicht einig, welches Ergebnis vorn liegt.
CoinRithm-Referenz Democratic 62% · 3 Plattformen · 3 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 66%
- Auch verfügbar auf Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 62%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
