Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 10:56 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseAngela Rayner is not Prime Minister at the end of 2026 99%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet15. Mai 26, 13:10 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Angela Rayner be Prime Minister of the UK before December?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Combined conditional market on Rayner becoming PM and who she picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if she does.
- Please only add Labour MPs as options.
- (Use the "Other" option if you think a non-Labour MP (other than Burnham) might get the job.) I don't think there are any circumstances under which this market can resolve NA.
- If you have an edge case that I haven't covered in the small print, please let me know.
- Resolves to "Current Role Holder" on this page:
- https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/chancellor-of-the-exchequer