Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
2035-2036 17.6%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet2. Feb. 24, 19:14 UTC1. Jan. 50, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026?
Manifold MarketsConstruction of the space hotel Voyager Station to begin by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the Voyager Station space hotel receive its first guests in 2027?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRegeln
Voyager 1 is still on its way to outer space and currently (Jan. 2024) 24.4 billion km away from earth.
- Due to dimishing radioactiv power a lot of instruments had to shut down, but the probe is still able to send data.
- Even though that takes 22.5h one way and currently only transmits glitched data this counts for the purpose of this market.
- This market will resolve to the year in which the last successful communication with the probe will be made.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voyager_1
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.065,4 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.371,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 57.371,5 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.857 €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2035-2036 mit 18% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1? entschieden?
- Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1? soll am 1. Januar 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Voyager 1 is still on its way to outer space and currently (Jan. 2024) 24.4 billion km away from earth.