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Daten vom 19.10.2026, 15:57 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseTed Budd (R-NC) 78.1%Führend unter 34 Optionen
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet24. Sept. 26, 07:20 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PredictItWill Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market tracks whether specific U.S. Senators run for re-election in the 2028 U.S. Senate elections.
- Each answer (representing an individual Senator) will resolve independently:
- YES: If the Senator officially files paperwork (e.g., FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy or state-level equivalent) to run for re-election to the U.S. Senate in 2028, and they remain an active candidate up until their state's official filing deadline.
- NO: If the Senator publicly announces their retirement, declares their candidacy for a different office (in states where they cannot run for multiple offices) instead of the Senate, or fails to file for re-election by their state’s official filing deadline.
- NO: If the Senator resigns, passes away, is removed from office, or otherwise leaves office before the filing deadline and is thus not a sitting Senator seeking re-election during the 2028 cycle.
