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Any model announced before 2034 86.6%Führend unter 51 Optionen
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KalshiRegeln
Which of these models will beat me at chess once released? Resolves YES if they win, NO if I win, and 50% for a draw.
- I'm rated about 1900 FIDE.
- When each of these models are released, I'll play a game of chess with them.
- On each move, I'll provide them with the game state in PGN and FEN notation.
- If the models make three illegal moves, they lose.
- Responses like Nbd2 vs. Nd2 will not count towards this.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Any model announced before 2034 mit 87% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess? entschieden?
- Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess? soll am 1. Januar 2101 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Which of these models will beat me at chess once released? Resolves YES if they win, NO if I win, and 50% for a draw.