Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose200 100%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet28. Mai 26, 01:01 UTC28. Okt. 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
100%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I lose my current job by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will my current phone no longer be my daily driver?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketLeague City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRegeln
At time of market creation, I have a 116 day streak in the Bunpro Japanese vocabulary and grammar app,, starting from the first time I used Bunpro.
- I currently intend to continue practising using it indefinitely.
- How many of the listed thresholds will it pass before it breaks? Answers resolve YES when the streak reaches the given number of days, e.g. 200 would be expected to resolve YES in 84 days if the streak is unbroken.
- All answers not already thus resolved YES resolve NO the first time a streak is broken.
- Use of vacation mode counts as breaking the streak, unless practice happens anyway or there is a site outage (see later)..
- Disruptive life events, accidents, etc preventing practice count as breaking the streak.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 622.727,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 579.450,3 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 411.618 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.593 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt33.3%
- 160-179+5.0pt28.6%
- 200-219-4.0pt15.2%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt87.3%
- 65-89-10.0pt12.8%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Next James Bond actor?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which of the following thresholds will my current Bunpro streak reach??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 200 mit 100% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which of the following thresholds will my current Bunpro streak reach? entschieden?
- Which of the following thresholds will my current Bunpro streak reach? soll am 28. Oktober 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which of the following thresholds will my current Bunpro streak reach? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: At time of market creation, I have a 116 day streak in the Bunpro Japanese vocabulary and grammar app,, starting from the first time I used Bunpro.