Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 81.6%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 33 Minuten
11. Mai 26, 18:38 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will I lose over 90% of my money (on my @markingraham account) due to claims of alt embezzlement?
Manifold MarketsWill any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will my current phone no longer be my daily driver?
Manifold MarketsWill I lose my virginity within the next 3 years?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketTurner Prize 2026 Winner
PolymarketRegeln
Update 2026-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator's current job is as a project manager at a startup.
