Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
After 2026, or never 91.1%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
27
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet7. Nov. 24, 15:51 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.5%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
PolymarketWhich country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
PolymarketWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
Polymarket[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Falcons Flight in Saudi Arabia win Best New Attraction Installation in the Golden Ticket Awards in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Update 2025-11-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on the date of signature of the Abraham Accords by Saudi Arabia, not the date of public announcement of agreement.
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will Saudi Arabia sign onto the Abraham Accords??
- Manifold Markets bewertet After 2026, or never mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will Saudi Arabia sign onto the Abraham Accords? entschieden?
- When will Saudi Arabia sign onto the Abraham Accords? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will Saudi Arabia sign onto the Abraham Accords? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Update 2025-11-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on the date of signature of the Abraham Accords by Saudi Arabia, not the date of public announcement of agreement.