Aktuelle Community-Prognose
2029 or later 67.5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet15. März 26, 17:46 UTC15. März 28, 17:41 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Devansh have a *liquid* net worth of at least $1M on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiElon Musk Net Worth on September 30?
PolymarketMichael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026
KalshiRegeln
Currently Elon has $830 billion and Bill Gates has $104.8 billion.
- Bill has just over 12.6% of the net worth of Elon Musk.
- If Bill Gates stayed at $105 billion then Elon would need $1.75 trillion.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves based on Forbes' 2026 World Billionaires List and subsequent annual lists.
- As of the 2026 list, Elon Musk has $839 billion and Bill Gates has $108 billion, meaning Gates currently holds approximately 12.9% of Musk's net worth.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes?
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2029 or later mit 68% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes entschieden?
- When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes soll am 15. März 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Currently Elon has $830 billion and Bill Gates has $104.8 billion.