Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 94%
Prognostiker
21
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert28. Aug. 23, 07:08 UTC5. Sept. 50, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRegeln
If there is any doubt, one way or the other, I will resolve to my percent confidence.
- Planning on resolving a bit after he dies, just to see if more information comes in.
- Let's say three months after.
- If I am no longer using manifold, the mods can resolve to their percent confidence.
- I will not bet.
- search terms:
Offene Märkte
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 11,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24 Mio. €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15.595,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,1 Mio. €
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved? entschieden?
- Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved? soll am 5. September 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If there is any doubt, one way or the other, I will resolve to my percent confidence.